New research builds predictive model for how evacuees from Wuhan coronavirus cases deploy to China

A new research study by the University of Oklahoma Health Sciences Center (UOKHC) provides the first comprehensive look at the supply chain of the Wuhan City of 12000 returning residents. Along with the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the World Health Organization (WHO) – medical organizations Wuhan runs three quarantine facilities that it sets up to contain future public health emergencies.

For this research study the UOKHC focused its effort on surveying the supply chain and deploying it to build a predictive model for how evacuees from the Wuhan cases deploy in Chinas sweeping new outbreak which the U. S. Department of Health and Human Services estimates will impact supply chains and kill more than 33000 people.

Using data from three local detention facilities in China we placed claim-based limits on how many evacuees can be taken from quarantine. This allows us to determine why we need to host these core groups in quarantine while avoiding unnecessary spread.

Dr. Philip Davis MD University administrator Weatherford Health in Oklahoma City.

The study included data from more than 2600 evacuees. Data was gathered including a data overlay of daily social media usage to confirm when the highest rate of use was at 12:00 a. m. local time (1:00 a. m. -1:00:00 p. m. ) The data was mapped onto charts and visually illustrated so it could be used for predictive modeling.

Note: Because of the small sample size additional data is being requested for the new modeling.

In short this research study attempts to build a predictive model for evacuees from Wuhan.

This information needs to be used to understand exactly when and where evacuees are over the release of public health advisories said Dr. Davis. It also helps us determine the next steps in the fight against the virus.